Startups in a Bad Economy | 为什么要在经济下行的时候创业-YyatTung

Startups in a Bad Economy | 为什么要在经济下行的时候创业

歌手:YyatTung

时间:2024-12-02

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Right you've got this article why to start to start up in a bad economy

Sitting on your desk from why combinator and wow talk about a counter intuitive title

Right right especially since this is dated october two thousand eight right in the middle of financial crisis

But that's what we're ving ving into today

K is it actually tually good time to launch to start up

When the economy is well tanking it certainly goes against what you think right it does a fascinating day

It really grabps your attention right from that first line want to start to start up

Get funded by why combinator bold confident almost define it

Yeah Yeah

It's like the're saying hey

Forget all the dooming gloom were still here

We're still funding startups who's with us

That's a great point

It really sets the tone for like their whole argument

You know instead of shing away from the economic termoal

They are just anan right into it

So how do they actually back up this claim

That a bad economy doesn't equal doom for startups

Well they start by pointing to some pretty big names

You know companies like well microsoft and apple both fit during economomdodownturns

Ah ah

But don't just say look

They did it so can you

You

They don't a bit deeper than that because let's face it

It's not that simple is it

You can't just snap your fingers and become the next steve jobs

Just because there's a recession and appright

Exactly the acknowleddis that saying that a bad economy isn't a magic formula for success or anything instead they argue that the economy's impact on a startups is actually pretty small compared other factors especially like the founders themselves

So if i'm understanding this quickly it's less about all those external factors like the economy

More about the internal factors like the drive and the adaptability of the founding team

Precisely

It's about focusing on what you can control

Okay

You know they actually suggest that worrying about the economy forecast you should be more concerned with say finding the perfect co founder

Someone who shares your vision

Who you can trust to navigate the usand downs the inevitable challenges of building is starup

What do you think is more important

When starting a company

The economy or the teamy build that's a great question to ask yourself rate

If you are getting ready to launch to start up

Would you be more worried about interest rarates or whether you have the right people by your side

I mean building a company is hard work

Even in the best of times

It takes grip determination and a willingness to adapt

Yeah

You need those even more

When the economy takes dowwturn

So what does that

That apapability look like in practice the article mentioned a few potential advantages ststarting in a bad economy one that really stood out

Was this idea that technological prograph doesn't just stop

Because the economy slows down the really interesting point

Right they use the example of microsoft developing the basic interpreter for that all tear computer back in seventy five

It was the time of economy uncertainty sure

But the personal computer revolution was just taking off

Microsoft was in the right place

At the right time with the right product

It makes you think about how important timing was just esn't

It sure does being too earlier too late a company and a bad brebreak a company

Yeah

A bad ad eomomy can creopportortunithat wouldn't exist in a oman market

Think about it

When people are tightening their belts

They're looking for ways to save money

To do things more efficiently

If if 're start art is offering something that helhelps people cut costs or do more with less a recession could actually work in your favor

Exactly it's like that saying necessity is the mother of invention

Yeah

A downturn can force people to get creative define new solutions

But that can really be brebreaground for innovation ation

But what about investors

It seems like there the first ones to get spooked

When the economy starts to wbile

And the article even talks about how fickle they can be right wanning one thing one year

And something completely different than next it does

And it uses some pretty um humorous language to make that point

Yeah like there's that line about how um how last year you have to be viral

Next year you'll have be recession prooh it's funny

But it makes a serious point

So what is it about in vilbors and these economic downturns that makes them act dodifferently

Ah i think it comes down to risk tolerance

Okay

When the economy is good

They are more willing to take risks

They're looking for that next big thing

But when things gives shaky

They get a lot more cautious sure

They're more focused on preserving capital

Than you know making big best

So how do you convince an investor

That your start tups worth bedtting on

When everyone else is running for cover the article mentiones this idea of being a cockroach

Yes

That's one of the key taguways

And of course they're not talking about literally being a cockroach

Right

But embodying certain qualities

So what are this cocoroach like qualities

That investors look for well cockroach is known for being coalialities and adaptable able to survive anything and in the start of world

That translates to running a in operation

Being

Being raray y being able pipivoc quickly

When you need to it sounds like you're saying that investors want to see that you can weather the storm

That you're not going to just fall apart

When things get to exactly they want to see that you're in it for the long haall um that you have a clear vision

And that you're willing to do whatever it takes to make it a success

So you need to find an awesome coo founder

Yes

Build something people actually need and be a scrappy as a cockroach

That's right

That sounds well pretty challenging

That's not easy

But the article is an all dooming ggoing right

是的 对的

There are some definite upsides too absolutely

One of the biggest upsisis is that a bad economy can actually mean less competition

Okay when other businesses are pulling back

Can crecrespspace your appintiadadtable ststart up really gain some trtraction

It's pretty sasaying bilow so l high but applied to the start up ll exactly and in this case

You're not just investing money

You're investing your time

You're energy

Your passion

You're betting on yourself

That's a pretty powerful way get it

It leads to what i think is one of the most thought provoking lines in the whole article

It says most people won't act on this advice

They'll get scared and head back to grad school

That's what makes this such an interesting time to be a founder

It's a challenge isn't

It yeah

You're bold enough to take the risk

This could be your moment

So does a bad economy make it a good time to start

To start up

Sounds like the answer

Like most things is more complicated than a simple yes or no

But this article definitely makes you think twice about conventional wisdom

It challenges us to think critically about risk opportunity

And what it really takes to succeed

Especially when things get tough

We've covered a lot

Lot But

But before remove on

Let's recap some of the key takewaook first and foremost the success of a start up

Hinges more on the founders

Than on the state of the economy

Right

A bad economy won't do the great team

And a good economy won't save a bad one

It's about focusing on what you can control building a strong team

Developing a product or service

That people actually need and running your operation as efficiently as possible and remember you are an investor too investing your time

Your energy

Your talent

And sometimes the best time to invest is when everyone else is heading for the exit

So we've explored the arguments

The key ideas from this why commodated article

So we want a shift

Gears a bit

And explore how these ideas might apply to your own entrepreneurial journey

Ready to i have a little deeper what's do it

I mean thinking about starting a business

When things are uncertain

Can be kind of ininmidating

Know that about it

But what we've been talking about with this why combinor article suggests maybe

Just maybe those tough times it have their advantatages

Yeah

That's right we've ve been digging into how a downturn in eeomomisn't necessararily the kiss of death for a start up

It might actually create some unique opportunities

You wouldn't even ate when the economy is booming

And the article really emphasizhow how important is to be adaptable

Right

It's not just about having a great idea

But being flexible to being eldly adjust your approach as things

Things ged around you

And let's face economic landscape will they could shift pretty romantically right

How do you think that idea of adaptability applies to like your own starof ideas

It makes you think about

You know how 'd react

If you're initial plan needed to change right things rarely go exactly

How you expect them to when you're building a business

And that's where that cockroo anallogy comes back in right you

It's not about being creepy crawley

Exactly

But about being resilient that ability just to survive tough right you were building a company

What

What's specific things could you do to be more cockroach like in your approach

Yeah makes you think about resourcefulness

Ness right making the most of what you have being scrappy not afraid to you know

Get your hands rty

Exactly

It's about being iled to pive it too

Yeah

You know change direction when you need to because in a voladle economy

Those rules of the game well they can change

Overnight

You know the article makes an interesting point about how startups could actually benefit from economic downturns by offering solutions that help people well save money

Yeah

It's almost counterintuitive

But it kind of make sense

We really think about it

Doesn't it think about it from a customers perspective

When the economy strong

You're probably more willing to splurge a little by things you want but don't necessarily need

But when things get tough

You become way more focused on

You know the essentials

So if you're start up

Provides a product or service that helps people

You know costs maybe stretch their budgets further

You're actually tapping into a growing need during recession

Precisely you're offering a socused on you know are really looking tione

That's

That's powerful

It is

But even with a great product in a resilient team

You've still got navigate that world of investors right and as we talked about inveinvestors get much more cautious

When eeomy y slow down what advice does the article give about dealing with investors during a recession

It acknowledges that investors are well more risk of vers and understandabably so during a recession

But it also reminds us

That those smart investors are always looking for good opportunities

Okay

No matter what the economies is doing

How do you make your start art stand and as as good opportunity that everyone else is you know tightening their per ststrings well the article suggests you need to demonstrate that you're start up has the potential to you know not just survive but really thrive

But know not matmating ditions

It goes back to that idea of being lean efficient adaptable

It's about proving that you can weather the storm yeah and come out even stronger on the other side

Exactly

And being able to articulate your vision right clearly showing investors you understand the market

And 've got a plan for navigating the challenges ahead

Think think you

Your own start art ideidefor seconseconthink what would you tell an investor

Whose hesitdent because of the economy

It makes you think about what makes your idea really valuable

Right

What problem are you solving

That becomes even more critical during a recession

Exactly

A good investor knows that downturns can create you know disruptions opportunities for new solutions to come out and shake things up they're looking for the the diamonds in a rough

Yeah

Those companies with the potential to be the next big thing

So far

We've talked about the potential benefits of starting a business during a bad economy things like the less petition right the chance to offer solutions that save people money

The ability to attract those investors who are searching for the hidden jms out there

But we gotta be realistic

Here there are some simptty significant challenges too right

Of course starting a business is never easy and doing it during a recession just adds another layer of complexity

You're absolutely right important to acknowledge the challenges to be realistic about them

Wanching starart is is always risky yeah

And those risks are definitely higher

When the economies struggling getting funding can be harder

People might be spending less right

And there's just more incerity

Overall the article doesn't shy away from those challenges

Does it

The

It don't it keeps coming back to that core message

That the success of a start tuis really more about the founders than anything else right

A bad economy won't do ma great team

But a good economy won't save a poorly run company

It all comes down to you know execution resilience that all waivering belief in your vision

It does so as we wrap up this part of our deep dive

We want to leave a listeners with a few questions to think about okay

So if you were to launch your start today

What challenges do you think youd face yeah

And what strength and resources could you use to overcome them takes some time to really think about those questions

Think about how this why combinator article can help you navigate starting up in well uncertain economy times and will pick up this conversation or next segment so welcome back

We've been really did into this why combator article talking about how it kind of flips

The script on starting a business

During a recession

It's um

It's a lot of process

But i'm curious

What's really resonated with you so far

You know is that sense of optimism

That really comes through

Yeah

That even when the economy looks well kind of bleak

You can still build a great company

It is pretty inspiring

Especially given that this was written right in the middle of two thousand

Thousand financial crisis

Yeah

You know they weren't just talking about it

They were out there doing it right funding startups

Ps

A lot of people were freaking out

And that really said something about their philosophy doesn't it that whole downturn didn't change their belief

That innovation keeps going yeah

How tough things get yeah

Ah they've even point out that some of the biggest

Most successful companies out there actually started during some pretty tough times

You know microsoft

Apple they were founded

When the economy was booming

It makes you wonder

If those challenges actually like fuel creativity and resilience in a way

When you don't have a lot of resources and the stakes are high

You forced to be more resourceful

More focused

You know more determined

Almost like a pressure cooker right

Sometimes you need that heat that pressure to create something truly well amazing

Exactly

And i think that's what this article challenges is to do right to see the opportunity

That's hidden in all that uncertainty to really embrace the challenge

And use it to fuel innovation

Yeah

The article doesn't give us like all the answers or any guarantees

But it does give us a new way to think about startups

It pushes you to ask yourself some tough and questions like what are you really passionate about

Yeah

What problem are you trying to solve right

And are you willing to put in the work to be adaptable resilient to build something that matters even when

Even

Even when the world feels like it's fallen apart

It's about changing your perspective right not seeing your cession is a dead end

But maybe a chance to launch something

Knew something innovative

Because the end of a day a start up success isn't tied to you know a stock market

Market ter the unemployment

Right right

It comes down of the people behind it

Their vision

Their drug

Yeah they're willingness to embrace the unknown and really make something happen

And that's a message worth remembering no matter what's happening with the economy definitely so as we wrap up this deep dive

We want to leave you with this

Don't let fear hold you back

Embrace the uncertainty go after what you're passionate about

And remember even in times are tough

Innovation can still take rout and flourish

Thanks for joining us on this deep dive

We hope it's given you some things to think about and a fresh perspective on the world of startups

And remember even though our deep dive here is ending your own deep dive into the world of startups

Well

It's just beginning

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